Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 42.13
Price - 52 Week High: 52.91
Price - 52 Week Low: 39.75
Price Date (Latest): 5/17/19
Median Price Target: 41.67
Diff from Prev Close: -0.46
% Difference: -1.10

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3.33

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.55
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.78
Yield (%): 3.69

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.25 2.26 2.23 2.25 2 -- 1 -1.53
Annual 12/1/20 2.04 2.05 2.01 2.05 3 -- 1 -2.78
Annual 12/1/19 1.91 1.93 1.89 1.92 3 -- 1 -1.12
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.78 0.83 0.71 0.79 3 -- 1 -13.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.36 0.37 0.33 0.37 3 1 1 1.62
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.16 0.18 0.15 0.15 3 2 -- 23.85
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.67 0.74 0.59 0.68 3 -- -- 8.06

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.06 0.49
Annual 12/1/17 1.95 1.91 2.36
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.52 0.83 -37.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.65 8.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 0.19 -21.05
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.39 0.36 8.33

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 30.01 30.01 30.01 30.01 1 1 -- 2.56
Annual 12/1/20 29.25 29.25 29.25 29.25 1 1 -- 2.99
Annual 12/1/19 28.61 28.61 28.61 28.61 1 1 -- 3.43

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 27.01 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 26.42 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.33 5.50 15.09
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.69 1.70 1.67 1.69 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1.61 1.63 1.58 1.61 3 -- -- -0.82
Annual 12/1/19 1.55 1.56 1.53 1.55 3 -- -- -0.54
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.39 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.37 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.37 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,634.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 325.94 354.67 297.22 325.94 2 -- -- -8.10
Annual 12/1/20 298.68 323.38 273.98 298.68 2 -- -- -7.64
Annual 12/1/19 259.69 285.53 233.85 259.69 2 -- -- -9.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.68 92.68 92.68 92.68 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 50.87 59.77 41.97 50.87 2 -- -- -14.89
Quarterly 9/1/19 34.74 42.93 26.55 34.74 2 -- -- -19.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 91.44 98.25 84.63 91.44 2 -- -- 8.05

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,634.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 284.51 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 67.07 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.28 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 571.67 571.67 571.67 571.67 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 507.69 529.91 485.46 507.69 2 -- -- -4.19
Annual 12/1/19 508.58 536.12 481.04 508.58 2 -- -- 5.73
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.68 92.68 92.68 92.68 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 75.13 108.28 41.97 75.13 2 -- -- -30.62
Quarterly 9/1/19 59.36 92.16 26.55 59.36 2 -- -- -35.60
Quarterly 12/1/19 116.43 134.61 98.25 116.43 2 -- -- -13.51

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 456.53 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.99 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.25 2.26 2.23 2.25 2 -- 1 -1.54
Annual 12/1/20 2.04 2.05 2.01 2.05 3 -- 1 -2.78
Annual 12/1/19 2.25 2.94 1.89 1.92 3 -- 1 16.28
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.78 0.83 0.71 0.79 3 -- -- -13.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.35 0.37 0.33 0.36 3 -- 1 0.95
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.15 3 1 -- 20.51
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.67 0.74 0.59 0.68 3 1 -- 8.06

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.76 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.39 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 136.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 167.45 167.45 167.45 167.45 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 148.62 158.83 138.41 148.62 2 -- -- -6.43
Annual 12/1/19 134.31 145.94 127.48 129.52 3 -- 1 -3.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.41 54.41 54.41 54.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 24.67 27.34 21.89 24.78 3 1 -- -1.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 10.74 12.61 9.78 9.82 3 1 -- 13.44
Quarterly 12/1/19 47.25 49.83 45.41 46.49 3 1 -- 5.10

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 136.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 126.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 34.42 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 45.84 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 7.02 7.02 7.02 7.02 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,396.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,551.54 1,551.54 1,551.54 1,551.54 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1,489.96 1,510.50 1,469.43 1,489.96 2 -- -- -1.36
Annual 12/1/19 1,431.42 1,468.51 1,394.34 1,431.42 2 -- -- -2.53
Quarterly 3/1/20 409.00 409.00 409.00 409.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 317.57 326.04 309.10 317.57 2 -- -- -2.60
Quarterly 9/1/19 301.24 315.79 286.69 301.24 2 -- -- -4.61
Quarterly 12/1/19 410.99 412.02 409.96 410.99 2 -- -- -0.25

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,396.89 1,437.87 -2.85
Annual 12/1/17 1,445.93 1,428.45 1.22
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Quarterly 3/1/19 396.48 414.66 -4.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 372.22 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 296.01 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 319.30 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 20.35 22.02 20.69

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -7.12 6.45 10.25

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