Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 48.62
Price - 52 Week High: 49.47
Price - 52 Week Low: 39.75
Price Date (Latest): 1/17/20
Median Price Target: 43.40
Diff from Prev Close: -5.22
% Difference: -10.74

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

4.20

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.55
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.78
Yield (%): 3.14

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.14 2.22 2.05 2.15 4 -- 1 -0.34
Annual 12/1/20 2.00 2.05 1.88 2.02 5 1 1 -0.13
Annual 12/1/19 1.90 1.92 1.87 1.90 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.77 0.82 0.72 0.76 4 1 1 -0.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.38 0.41 0.32 0.39 4 1 1 6.83
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.15 0.17 0.10 0.16 4 1 1 5.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.68 0.72 0.63 0.68 5 1 -- -0.09
Long Term Growth 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.06 0.49
Annual 12/1/17 1.95 1.91 2.36
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.08 0.14 -43.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.33 0.36 -8.84
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.83 -9.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.65 8.02

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 30.24 30.24 30.24 30.24 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 29.39 29.39 29.39 29.39 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 28.69 28.69 28.69 28.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 27.01 28.47 -5.14
Annual 12/1/17 26.42 26.76 -1.26
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 25.34 1.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.85 1 -- 1 -0.68
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.33 5.50 15.09
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.32 -- 1,320.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 -- 850.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.67 1.68 1.67 1.67 2 -- 1 -0.65
Annual 12/1/20 1.60 1.61 1.58 1.61 3 -- 1 -0.50
Annual 12/1/19 1.54 1.55 1.53 1.54 3 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- 1 -5.12
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 1.43 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 1.37 -0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.39 0.39 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.39 0.39 -0.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.39 0.39 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,634.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 300.10 300.10 300.10 300.10 1 1 -- 0.82
Annual 12/1/20 276.00 276.00 276.00 276.00 1 1 -- 0.55
Annual 12/1/19 228.44 228.44 228.44 228.44 1 -- 1 -1.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 94.84 94.84 94.84 94.84 1 1 -- 1.21
Quarterly 6/1/20 46.27 46.27 46.27 46.27 1 1 -- 1.71
Quarterly 9/1/20 37.51 37.51 37.51 37.51 1 1 -- 1.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 91.35 91.35 91.35 91.35 1 -- 1 -2.95

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,634.40 265.29 516.09
Annual 12/1/17 284.51 270.26 5.27
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 286.07 1.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.24 27.60 9.58
Quarterly 6/1/19 39.77 42.15 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 86.74 98.20 -11.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.28 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 491.94 494.60 489.28 491.94 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 471.96 489.31 461.97 464.60 3 1 -- 0.11
Annual 12/1/19 426.72 431.05 422.40 426.72 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 94.84 94.84 94.84 94.84 1 1 -- 1.21
Quarterly 6/1/20 46.27 46.27 46.27 46.27 1 1 -- 1.71
Quarterly 9/1/20 37.51 37.51 37.51 37.51 1 1 -- 1.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 110.30 126.48 94.13 110.30 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 456.53 442.31 3.22
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 444.50 2.30
Quarterly 9/1/19 80.43 56.61 42.08
Quarterly 6/1/19 95.41 69.80 36.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.99 145.98 -20.55

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.20 2.26 2.12 2.23 3 -- -- 1.30
Annual 12/1/20 2.04 2.05 2.02 2.04 4 1 -- 0.97
Annual 12/1/19 2.26 2.93 1.92 1.93 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 1 -- 1.23
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 1 1 -- 45.45
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 1 1 -- 33.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- 1 -5.56

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.05 0.98
Annual 12/1/17 1.79 1.88 -4.86
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.06 4.20
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.08 0.14 -42.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.38 0.37 2.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.76 0.83 112.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.63 10.53

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 136.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 139.27 139.27 139.27 139.27 1 1 -- 0.90
Annual 12/1/19 125.53 125.53 125.53 125.53 1 -- 1 -1.45
Quarterly 3/1/20 55.60 55.60 55.60 55.60 1 1 -- 0.76
Quarterly 6/1/20 21.79 21.79 21.79 21.79 1 1 -- 46.24
Quarterly 9/1/20 10.96 10.96 10.96 10.96 1 1 -- 38.73
Quarterly 12/1/19 45.25 46.08 44.41 45.25 2 -- 1 -2.38

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 136.43 137.70 -0.92
Annual 12/1/17 126.12 117.30 7.52
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 132.07 3.91
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.09 8.77 -36.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 21.82 25.18 -13.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.60 59.50 -16.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 45.84 44.92 2.05

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.81 6.81 6.81 6.81 1 -- -- -1.45

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 8.33 0.32

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,396.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,476.42 1,509.64 1,443.20 1,476.42 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1,442.10 1,475.42 1,402.53 1,448.35 3 1 -- 0.05
Annual 12/1/19 1,370.59 1,387.56 1,351.97 1,372.23 3 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 402.92 412.68 393.16 402.92 2 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/20 322.05 325.99 318.10 322.05 2 1 -- 0.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 302.70 303.32 302.08 302.70 2 1 -- 0.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 389.48 417.71 370.91 379.81 3 -- 1 -0.04

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,396.89 1,437.87 -2.85
Annual 12/1/17 1,445.93 1,428.45 1.22
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Quarterly 9/1/19 283.77 291.58 -2.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 300.81 312.23 -3.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 396.48 414.66 -4.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 372.22 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 23.49 25.63 24.36

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -7.91 5.23 7.19

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