Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 47.24
Price - 52 Week High: 49.33
Price - 52 Week Low: 39.75
Price Date (Latest): 12/6/19
Median Price Target: 43.40
Diff from Prev Close: -3.84
% Difference: -8.13

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.55
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.78
Yield (%): 3.28

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.15 2.25 2.05 2.15 4 -- 1 -0.58
Annual 12/1/20 2.00 2.07 1.88 2.02 5 2 -- 0.50
Annual 12/1/19 1.90 1.92 1.87 1.90 3 -- 2 -1.22
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.77 0.83 0.72 0.77 4 1 1 0.33
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.35 0.41 0.22 0.39 4 1 1 -2.09
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.14 0.18 0.10 0.14 4 -- 1 -16.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.68 0.72 0.63 0.69 4 1 1 1.11
Long Term Growth 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.06 0.49
Annual 12/1/17 1.95 1.91 2.36
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.08 0.14 -43.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.33 0.36 -8.84
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.83 -9.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.65 8.02

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 30.24 30.24 30.24 30.24 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 29.39 29.39 29.39 29.39 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 28.69 28.69 28.69 28.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 27.01 28.47 -5.14
Annual 12/1/17 26.42 26.76 -1.26
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 25.34 1.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.03 5.03 5.03 5.03 1 1 -- 0.80
Annual 12/1/19 5.89 5.89 5.89 5.89 1 1 -- 0.51
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.33 5.50 15.09
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.32 -- 1,320.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 -- 850.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.69 1.70 1.67 1.70 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1.61 1.63 1.58 1.62 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.55 1.56 1.53 1.56 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 1.43 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 1.37 -0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.39 0.39 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.39 0.39 -0.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.39 0.39 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,634.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 286.64 297.67 275.60 286.64 2 -- 1 -0.13
Annual 12/1/20 267.15 274.49 259.80 267.15 2 -- 1 -0.09
Annual 12/1/19 231.02 231.23 230.80 231.02 2 -- 1 -1.38
Quarterly 3/1/20 93.71 93.71 93.71 93.71 1 1 -- 1.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 45.49 45.49 45.49 45.49 1 1 -- 1.18
Quarterly 9/1/20 37.06 37.06 37.06 37.06 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 94.13 94.13 94.13 94.13 1 -- 1 -8.82

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,634.40 265.29 516.09
Annual 12/1/17 284.51 270.26 5.27
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 286.07 1.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.24 27.60 9.58
Quarterly 6/1/19 39.77 42.15 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 86.74 98.20 -11.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.28 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 491.94 494.60 489.28 491.94 2 -- -- 0.54
Annual 12/1/20 471.44 487.76 461.97 464.60 3 -- 2 -1.93
Annual 12/1/19 426.72 431.05 422.40 426.72 2 1 -- 0.25
Quarterly 3/1/20 93.71 93.71 93.71 93.71 1 1 -- 1.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 45.49 45.49 45.49 45.49 1 1 -- 1.18
Quarterly 9/1/20 37.06 37.06 37.06 37.06 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 110.30 126.48 94.13 110.30 2 -- 1 -3.97

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 456.53 442.31 3.22
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 444.50 2.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 95.41 69.80 36.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.99 145.98 -20.55

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.18 2.26 2.09 2.18 4 -- 1 -0.57
Annual 12/1/20 2.02 2.05 1.95 2.02 5 2 -- 0.50
Annual 12/1/19 2.26 2.93 1.92 1.93 3 -- 1 -0.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 1 1 -- 3.85
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 1 1 -- 4.76
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 1 -- -- -14.29
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1 -- 1 -1.37

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.05 0.98
Annual 12/1/17 1.79 1.88 -4.86
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.06 4.20
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.08 0.14 -42.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.38 0.37 2.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.76 0.83 112.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.63 10.53

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,910.01 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,845.04 1,739.39 6.07

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 136.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 140.90 140.90 140.90 140.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 134.72 138.03 131.40 134.72 2 -- 1 -0.16
Annual 12/1/19 159.04 190.70 127.38 159.04 2 -- 1 -1.29
Quarterly 3/1/20 55.18 55.18 55.18 55.18 1 1 -- 2.03
Quarterly 6/1/20 14.90 14.90 14.90 14.90 1 1 -- 3.11
Quarterly 9/1/20 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 46.35 48.29 44.41 46.35 2 -- 1 -1.34

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 136.43 137.70 -0.92
Annual 12/1/17 126.12 117.30 7.52
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 132.07 3.91
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.09 8.77 -36.77
Quarterly 6/1/19 21.82 25.18 -13.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.60 59.50 -16.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 45.84 44.92 2.05

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 6.91 6.91 6.91 6.91 1 -- -- -2.68

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 8.33 0.32

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,396.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,476.42 1,509.64 1,443.20 1,476.42 2 -- 1 -0.12
Annual 12/1/20 1,441.45 1,473.46 1,402.53 1,448.35 3 1 1 0.04
Annual 12/1/19 1,370.75 1,388.06 1,351.97 1,372.23 3 -- 2 -0.32
Quarterly 3/1/20 402.57 411.99 393.16 402.57 2 2 -- 0.16
Quarterly 6/1/20 321.78 325.99 317.57 321.78 2 1 1 -0.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 302.45 302.81 302.08 302.45 2 -- 1 -1.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 389.64 418.20 370.91 379.81 3 -- 1 -0.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,396.89 1,437.87 -2.85
Annual 12/1/17 1,445.93 1,428.45 1.22
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Quarterly 9/1/19 283.77 291.58 -2.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 300.81 312.23 -3.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 396.48 414.66 -4.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 372.22 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 22.82 24.90 23.63

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -7.91 5.37 7.41

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