Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 51.92
Price - 52 Week High: 52.83
Price - 52 Week Low: 37.78
Price Date (Latest): 11/20/17
Median Price Target: 47.50
Diff from Prev Close: -4.42
% Difference: -8.51

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 1.37
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 2.07
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 78.15
Yield (%): 2.64

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.23 2.31 2.15 2.23 2 1 1 2.47
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.11 2.05 2.05 3 1 1 1.09
Annual 12/1/17 1.88 1.95 1.81 1.88 2 -- 1 -3.37
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.51 0.57 0.45 0.51 2 1 1 -0.98
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.86 0.91 0.80 0.86 2 1 -- -0.58
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.37 0.39 0.35 0.37 2 -- 2 -1.35
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.19 0.21 0.17 0.19 2 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Annual 12/1/15 1.97 1.95 0.92
Annual 12/1/14 2.00 1.93 3.81
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.07 0.15 -53.33
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.34 0.38 -9.33
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.96 0.82 17.07
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.62 0.57 8.14

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 25.69
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 28.79 28.79 28.79 28.79 1 1 -- 0.80
Annual 12/1/18 27.85 27.85 27.85 27.85 1 1 -- 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 26.76 26.76 26.76 26.76 1 1 -- 0.34

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 24.53 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 23.84 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 5.28 5.28 5.28 5.28 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 5.38 5.38 5.38 5.38 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 1 -- 1 -2.55
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56
Annual 12/1/15 5.99 4.11 45.74
Annual 12/1/14 4.32 0.55 685.45
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.32 1.34 73.13
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.61 1.00 61.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 1.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1.56 1.56 1.55 1.56 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1.27 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.36 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.36 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.34 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 289.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 384.10 384.10 384.10 384.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 329.49 329.49 329.49 329.49 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 287.63 287.63 287.63 287.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 68.98 68.98 68.98 68.98 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 124.53 124.53 124.53 124.53 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 77.20 77.20 77.20 77.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.79 44.79 44.79 44.79 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 253.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 252.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 31.04 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 56.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 115.39 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 82.53 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 454.73
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 581.02 581.02 581.02 581.02 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 514.95 514.95 514.95 514.95 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 460.60 460.60 460.60 460.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 113.42 113.42 113.42 113.42 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 174.20 174.20 174.20 174.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 127.50 127.50 127.50 127.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 95.60 95.60 95.60 95.60 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 401.05 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 382.77 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 74.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 99.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 157.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 125.04 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.20 2.31 2.09 2.20 2 1 1 -0.45
Annual 12/1/18 2.05 2.05 2.04 2.05 3 1 1 -0.33
Annual 12/1/17 1.90 1.95 1.81 1.95 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.50 0.54 0.45 0.50 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.86 0.92 0.80 0.86 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.38 0.39 0.36 0.38 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.17 0.21 0.13 0.17 2 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.97 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 3.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.07 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.34 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.96 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.62 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,845.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,610.00 1,610.00 1,610.00 1,610.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1,500.00 1,500.00 1,500.00 1,500.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 690.00 690.00 690.00 690.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2,079.00 2,079.00 2,079.00 2,079.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,098.00 2,098.00 2,098.00 2,098.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,148.00 2,148.00 2,148.00 2,148.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,218.00 2,218.00 2,218.00 2,218.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,845.04 1,739.39 6.07
Annual 12/1/15 1,719.34 1,566.45 9.76
Annual 12/1/14 1,634.32 1,318.66 23.94
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,912.54 2,027.00 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/17 1,811.80 1,900.00 -4.64
Quarterly 12/1/16 1,845.04 1,874.00 -1.55

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 137.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 159.16 159.16 159.16 159.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 138.72 138.72 138.72 138.72 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 128.42 128.42 128.42 128.42 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 32.99 37.70 28.29 32.99 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 65.76 65.76 65.76 65.76 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 35.99 35.99 35.99 35.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 14.10 14.10 14.10 14.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 123.23 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 122.44 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 4.45 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 21.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 62.12 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 40.09 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 8.64
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 7.80 7.80 7.80 7.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.50 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 7.30 7.30 7.30 7.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.18 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 8.80 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,442.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,702.10 1,702.10 1,702.10 1,702.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1,803.70 1,803.70 1,803.70 1,803.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,737.10 1,737.10 1,737.10 1,737.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 387.63 387.63 387.63 387.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 436.90 436.90 436.90 436.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 334.88 334.88 334.88 334.88 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 330.62 330.62 330.62 330.62 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Annual 12/1/15 1,484.78 1,698.86 -12.60
Annual 12/1/14 1,472.56 1,639.25 -10.17
Quarterly 9/1/17 297.10 316.17 -6.03
Quarterly 6/1/17 314.50 326.33 -3.63
Quarterly 3/1/17 436.47 471.10 -7.35
Quarterly 12/1/16 402.12 576.05 -30.19

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 27.62 18.35 1.51
FY1 25.08 18.92 1.33
FY2 23.28 19.38 1.20

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -12.56 31.21 0.67
FY2/FY1 10.11 -85.54 7.61
FY3/FY2 10.11 -85.54 7.61

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