Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 45.98
Price - 52 Week High: 52.70
Price - 52 Week Low: 39.75
Price Date (Latest): 8/21/19
Median Price Target: 42.00
Diff from Prev Close: -3.98
% Difference: -8.66

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3.40

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.55
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.78
Yield (%): 3.34

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.18 2.26 2.05 2.23 3 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/20 2.00 2.05 1.88 2.04 4 -- 1 -0.06
Annual 12/1/19 1.91 1.94 1.87 1.93 3 1 -- 0.40
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.78 0.83 0.73 0.78 3 -- 2 0.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.33 0.42 0.21 0.37 3 -- 1 -17.53
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.15 0.18 0.12 0.15 4 -- 2 -6.49
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.66 0.70 0.62 0.66 4 1 1 -0.49
Long Term Growth 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.06 0.49
Annual 12/1/17 1.95 1.91 2.36
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.33 0.36 -8.84
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.83 -9.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.65 8.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 0.19 -21.05

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 30.24 30.24 30.24 30.24 1 1 -- 0.77
Annual 12/1/20 29.39 29.39 29.39 29.39 1 1 -- 0.48
Annual 12/1/19 28.69 28.69 28.69 28.69 1 1 -- 0.28

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 27.01 28.47 -5.14
Annual 12/1/17 26.42 26.76 -1.26
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 25.34 1.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.88 5.88 5.88 5.88 1 1 -- 0.34
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.33 5.50 15.09
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 -- 850.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.69 1.70 1.67 1.70 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1.61 1.63 1.58 1.62 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.55 1.56 1.53 1.56 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 1.43 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 1.37 -0.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.39 0.39 -0.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.39 0.39 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.37 0.37 0.81

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,634.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 287.35 299.10 275.60 287.35 2 1 -- -7.14
Annual 12/1/20 268.03 276.25 259.80 268.03 2 1 -- -6.28
Annual 12/1/19 235.43 240.05 230.80 235.43 2 1 -- -5.95
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.03 92.03 92.03 92.03 1 -- 1 -0.70
Quarterly 6/1/20 44.66 44.66 44.66 44.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 28.08 28.08 28.08 28.08 1 1 -- -19.36
Quarterly 12/1/19 105.12 105.12 105.12 105.12 1 1 -- 14.68

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,634.40 265.29 516.09
Annual 12/1/17 284.51 270.26 5.27
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 286.07 1.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 39.77 42.15 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 86.74 98.20 -11.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.28 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 489.62 489.62 489.62 489.62 1 -- -- -7.73
Annual 12/1/20 475.49 489.56 461.42 475.49 2 1 -- -3.46
Annual 12/1/19 437.36 437.36 437.36 437.36 1 -- -- -4.76
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.03 92.03 92.03 92.03 1 -- 1 -0.70
Quarterly 6/1/20 44.66 44.66 44.66 44.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.13 85.55 26.71 56.13 2 -- -- -17.63
Quarterly 12/1/19 114.75 130.80 98.70 114.75 2 -- -- -5.45

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 456.53 442.31 3.22
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 444.50 2.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 95.41 69.80 36.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.99 145.98 -20.55

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.19 2.26 2.09 2.23 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.02 2.05 1.95 2.04 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.27 2.99 1.89 1.92 3 1 -- 0.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.75 0.78 0.71 0.75 2 -- 1 -4.08
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.31 0.41 0.21 0.31 2 -- -- -22.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.20 0.24 0.15 0.20 2 1 -- 24.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.73 0.78 0.68 0.73 2 1 -- 11.17

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.05 0.98
Annual 12/1/17 1.79 1.88 -4.86
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.06 4.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.38 0.37 2.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.76 0.83 112.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.63 10.53
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 0.18 -16.67

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,910.01 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,845.04 1,739.39 6.07

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 136.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 140.90 140.90 140.90 140.90 1 -- -- -8.61
Annual 12/1/20 135.46 139.51 131.40 135.46 2 1 -- -5.35
Annual 12/1/19 162.14 190.70 133.57 162.14 2 1 -- 9.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.79 53.79 53.79 53.79 1 -- 1 -1.14
Quarterly 6/1/20 14.21 14.21 14.21 14.21 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 12.26 16.19 8.32 12.26 2 1 1 13.60
Quarterly 12/1/19 48.61 52.80 44.41 48.61 2 1 1 5.24

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 136.43 137.70 -0.92
Annual 12/1/17 126.12 117.30 7.52
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 132.07 3.91
Quarterly 6/1/19 21.82 25.18 -13.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.60 59.50 -16.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 45.84 44.92 2.05

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 7.20 7.20 7.20 7.20 1 -- -- 2.13

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 8.33 0.32

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,396.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,523.70 1,523.70 1,523.70 1,523.70 1 -- -- -0.91
Annual 12/1/20 1,469.67 1,476.94 1,462.41 1,469.67 2 1 -- -0.78
Annual 12/1/19 1,395.46 1,395.50 1,395.42 1,395.46 2 -- 1 -1.72
Quarterly 3/1/20 410.75 410.75 410.75 410.75 1 1 -- 0.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 316.63 316.63 316.63 316.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 290.98 295.03 286.93 290.98 2 -- 1 -2.76
Quarterly 12/1/19 405.13 421.44 388.83 405.13 2 1 -- 0.32

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,396.89 1,437.87 -2.85
Annual 12/1/17 1,445.93 1,428.45 1.22
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Quarterly 6/1/19 300.81 312.23 -3.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 396.48 414.66 -4.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 372.22 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 296.01 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 22.21 24.04 22.99

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -7.15 4.55 8.98

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