Avista Corp

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 47.82
Price - 52 Week High: 52.70
Price - 52 Week Low: 39.75
Price Date (Latest): 10/22/19
Median Price Target: 43.60
Diff from Prev Close: -4.22
% Difference: -8.82

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

3.80

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 1.55
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 3.78
Yield (%): 3.24

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.16 2.25 2.05 2.17 4 1 2 -0.86
Annual 12/1/20 1.99 2.07 1.88 2.00 5 2 2 -0.48
Annual 12/1/19 1.92 1.95 1.90 1.91 3 1 2 -0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.77 0.83 0.72 0.76 4 -- 2 -0.36
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.36 0.44 0.21 0.39 4 1 1 -0.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.14 0.16 0.12 0.15 4 1 2 -21.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.67 0.73 0.63 0.67 4 1 2 0.91
Long Term Growth 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.06 0.49
Annual 12/1/17 1.95 1.91 2.36
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.08 3.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.33 0.36 -8.84
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.75 0.83 -9.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.65 8.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 0.19 -21.05

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 30.24 30.24 30.24 30.24 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 29.39 29.39 29.39 29.39 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 28.69 28.69 28.69 28.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 27.01 28.47 -5.14
Annual 12/1/17 26.42 26.76 -1.26
Annual 12/1/16 25.69 25.34 1.37

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.99 4.99 4.99 4.99 1 -- 1 -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 1 -- 1 -0.34
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 6.33 5.50 15.09
Annual 12/1/16 5.60 4.39 27.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 -- 850.00

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1.69 1.70 1.67 1.70 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1.61 1.63 1.58 1.62 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1.55 1.56 1.53 1.56 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1.43 1.43 --
Annual 12/1/16 1.37 1.37 -0.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.39 0.39 -0.51
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.39 0.39 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.37 0.37 0.81

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,634.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 287.02 298.44 275.60 287.02 2 -- 1 -0.11
Annual 12/1/20 267.40 274.99 259.80 267.40 2 -- 1 -0.24
Annual 12/1/19 234.25 237.69 230.80 234.25 2 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.39 92.39 92.39 92.39 1 1 -- 0.39
Quarterly 6/1/20 44.96 44.96 44.96 44.96 1 1 -- 0.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 27.60 27.60 27.60 27.60 1 -- 1 -1.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 103.24 103.24 103.24 103.24 1 -- 1 -1.79

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,634.40 265.29 516.09
Annual 12/1/17 284.51 270.26 5.27
Annual 12/1/16 289.80 286.07 1.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 39.77 42.15 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 86.74 98.20 -11.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.28 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 489.28 489.28 489.28 489.28 1 -- 1 -0.28
Annual 12/1/20 480.72 491.90 461.97 488.29 3 -- 2 0.99
Annual 12/1/19 425.67 431.05 420.30 425.67 2 1 -- -0.96
Quarterly 3/1/20 92.39 92.39 92.39 92.39 1 1 -- 0.39
Quarterly 6/1/20 44.96 44.96 44.96 44.96 1 1 -- 0.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.61 85.62 27.60 56.61 2 1 1 1.70
Quarterly 12/1/19 114.86 126.48 103.24 114.86 2 -- 2 -1.30

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 456.53 442.31 3.22
Annual 12/1/16 454.73 444.50 2.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 95.41 69.80 36.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.99 145.98 -20.55

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.19 2.26 2.09 2.20 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.01 2.05 1.95 2.00 5 -- 1 -0.20
Annual 12/1/19 2.45 2.97 1.92 2.45 4 -- 2 -0.61
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.75 0.78 0.71 0.75 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.31 0.41 0.21 0.31 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 2 -- 1 -25.64
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.71 0.73 0.68 0.71 2 -- 1 -3.42

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.07 2.05 0.98
Annual 12/1/17 1.79 1.88 -4.86
Annual 12/1/16 2.15 2.06 4.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.38 0.37 2.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.76 0.83 112.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.63 10.53
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.15 0.18 -16.67

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 2,003.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 2,032.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 2,046.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,910.01 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,845.04 1,739.39 6.07

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 136.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 140.90 140.90 140.90 140.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 134.93 138.46 131.40 134.93 2 -- 1 -0.39
Annual 12/1/19 161.12 190.70 131.54 161.12 2 -- 1 -0.63
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.08 54.08 54.08 54.08 1 1 -- 0.54
Quarterly 6/1/20 14.45 14.45 14.45 14.45 1 1 -- 1.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 8.77 9.21 8.32 8.77 2 -- 1 -28.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 46.98 49.55 44.41 46.98 2 -- 1 -3.34

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 136.43 137.70 -0.92
Annual 12/1/17 126.12 117.30 7.52
Annual 12/1/16 137.23 132.07 3.91
Quarterly 6/1/19 21.82 25.18 -13.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.60 59.50 -16.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 45.84 44.92 2.05

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 7.10 7.10 7.10 7.10 1 -- -- -1.39

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 8.64 8.33 0.32

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,396.89
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,478.21 1,509.64 1,446.78 1,478.21 2 1 -- 0.02
Annual 12/1/20 1,440.91 1,474.95 1,399.43 1,448.35 3 1 1 -0.03
Annual 12/1/19 1,375.21 1,391.78 1,361.64 1,372.23 3 1 2 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 401.94 411.30 392.58 401.94 2 1 -- 0.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 322.03 327.02 317.04 322.03 2 1 -- 0.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 291.58 295.12 286.17 293.43 3 1 2 -0.35
Quarterly 12/1/19 389.73 418.47 370.91 379.81 3 1 2 -0.21

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,396.89 1,437.87 -2.85
Annual 12/1/17 1,445.93 1,428.45 1.22
Annual 12/1/16 1,442.48 1,648.17 -12.48
Quarterly 6/1/19 300.81 312.23 -3.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 396.48 414.66 -4.38
Quarterly 12/1/18 372.22 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 296.01 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 23.10 24.90 24.05

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -6.78 3.57 8.58

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